Yesterday’s dismay at seeing a Moderate Risk posted in Texas as well as several reports of tornadoes there has morphed into today’s philosophical mindset. I realized several months ago that the odds were against us when this year’s Plains chase trip had to be limited to just four chase days (due to schedule and financial limitations), so the fact that we only saw one chaseable storm during those four days wasn’t a total surprise. What did hurt was the continuance of our previous “luck” in missing great chase conditions before and after our trips out west. In 2002 we saw my only Plains tornado our second day out and were basically shut out the rest of the trip. In 2004 we saw a few notable storms but overall managed to sandwich our May trip in between some of the best chasing opportunities that year (the week after we left saw four High Risk days and lots of tornadoes). Our June 2006 trip saw us traipsing through seven states with only a couple of days of interesting action. So yesterday’s storm reports shown above coupled with another Moderate Risk posted for today just continues the trend. It does say something, however, when I realize that I’ve seen more tornadoes and funnels here in Virginia than I have out west. Of course some of that is due to the increased time available to chase near home, but one has to wonder about the cost-effectiveness of heading out to the Plains…

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