Well now, lookie here. According to the SPC we have a 5% chance of severe weather associated with a cold frontal passage “sometime” Wednesday. Unfortunately the models are showing that sometime to be around midnight Wednesday for our specific area, meaning there won’t be much (if any) instability to fuel storms associated with the front. The good news for Plains-based chasers is that the SPC has issued a Moderate Risk with a good chance of tornadoes for tomorrow in southeastern OK, northern TX, and western AR. The bad news for them is the rolling terrain, the thick forests, and poor road system in that area…wait, that sounds like Virginia chasing! Sorry western chasers, I don’t have any sympathy for you this time!

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