As I contemplate the approach of spring I am fighting a virulent strain of SDS (supercell deprivation syndrome) that doesn’t seem likely to be assuaged anytime soon here in the Mid-Atlantic. The above is a depiction of the GFS model prediction of convective instability for next Thursday afternoon (3/26) showing a very slight amount of mixed layer CAPE. This is the only potential convection that the GFS shows for the next 10 days in our region. The Plains is likely to see pretty decent chase conditions this coming Monday, but it looks like we’ll be shut out here for a while. Oh well, the May “chasecation” to the Plains isn’t far off!

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