Given divergent model depictions of conditions on Thursday May 7th I have chosen a target area just northwest of Denton TX. At the moment the WRF model is forecasting very high CAPE’s and not much convective inhibition in this area. The disconcerting part is that the GFS model calls for a very strong cap here with most of the convection happening in central Kansas and northeastern Oklahoma. Suffice it to say that I may rethink this target over the next day or so as the models – hopefully – converge on a solution.

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