I have to admit, I was a bit wary when I found out the Storm Prediction Center had posted a Moderate Risk for severe storms for Wednesday.  I haven’t had the best of luck with Moderate Risks and unfortunately today was no exception.  To sum it up, the best action this afternoon occurred outside the original risk areas, firing supercells and a few tornados in the southern Texas panhandle while leaving the broad area of tornadic prediction in Oklahoma under clear skies all afternoon. 

We got caught between the figurative rock and a hard place, starting out in Lawton OK in the morning and winding up in southern Kansas late in the afternoon to catch what we hoped would be discrete storms ahead of the approaching front.  That activity all quickly congealed into a messy squall line that would have been difficult – at best – to chase and we found ourselves halfway between the northern storms and the convection along the dryline in the Texas panhandle.  We had to go one direction or the other so we dove southward in hopes of catching some of the dryline storms.  We eventually did observe a severe storm near sunset so we salvaged what otherwise would have been a major B-U-S-T.  Like the blog title says, we didn’t strike out…

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