Along with acceptable CAPE (near 500) and decent speed shear (~40 kts) east of the Blue Ridge the vertical velocities are looking good for convection per today’s 12Z GFS run. Here’s the 700 mb chart for 18Z next Saturday:

Vertical velocities at 850 and 500 mb look similar.
If this high shear / low CAPE trend keeps up chasing will be on the menu a week from now!!
Advertisements