Unless things change dramatically (i.e. the wedge moves further north than thought today) I’ll be targeting the northern North Carolina Piedmont. This section of a forecast surface map from the 06Z NAM shows the approximate position of the wedge front (dotted line) and our initial target (black dot):
The Storm Prediction Center has this area under a Slight Risk in their 13Z outlook with a 5% tornado probability. The latter parameter is probably due to this Skew T for our target location at 21Z (5 pm) today:
If there is anything to see I’ll be live streaming on Severe Studios website so anyone bored enough can follow along. Chase on!!