Normally I don’t pay much attention to convective potential this late in November, especially after extended bouts of Arctic air, but there are hints of SOMETHING possible on Monday 11/24. On both the GFS and Euro there appears to be a high shear / low CAPE setup early next week altho’ the two models disagree on timing.

Could there be a late November chase in the cards? I’m not holding my breath, and if it occurs it could likely be a nocturnal setup. That in itself is dicey with low-topped convection and a dearth of illumination from lightning. Still, it is fascinating to consider the possibility….