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Called it!! Mid-day update to SPC Day 2 (Monday) outlook now contains a Slight Risk region.day2otlk_1730

The only fly in the ointment for tomorrow is the potential that storms won’t fire until after dark in the Slight Risk area. This is when I look for convective triggers from terrain, differential heating, outflow boundaries, or other small scale effects.

As for Wednesday the NAM and GFS have significant timing differences in a surface front passage. That chase possibility is still very much TBD.

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