Twelve years ago today the remnants of Hurricane Ivan spawned a tornado outbreak in Virginia. I was fortunate enough to witness this one that was evaluated as an F-3, damaging houses in the Remington VA area.0e34c-17sep_chase00528229

NWS Sterling issued a tornado warning on this cell within 3 minutes of our storm report.

So will there be anything to chase tomorrow (9/18/16)? At the moment it doesn’t look like anything much will fire east of the mountains. The surface front isn’t very¬†progressive per this morning’s model runs and the upper levels look pretty warm atop the Piedmont (i.e. convective cap is strong). We’ll see…